According to German medical professionals, and no less a medical statistician than the President of the Robert Koch Institut, Lothar Wieler, on Friday morning, March 20, it was Germany's good fortune that Covid-19 simply began among the young. Which brings us to the primary and most striking difference between the German patient population and that of the rest of the world: The mortality rate. A street seller wearing a face mask (L) proposes straw hats to tourists outside the Colosseum monument on August 22, 2020 in Rome during the Covid-19 infection, caused by the novel coronavirus. All Rights Reserved. As coronavirus cases began to surge in France, Spain and the U.K. this month, there were question marks over why Italy — the epicenter of Europe's first outbreak in spring — and Germany, Europe's largest economy, weren't seeing similar increases. When did organ music become associated with baseball? Nonetheless, as Italy's neighbors France (which has reported more than 10,000 new daily cases several times since Saturday) and Spain (which has a similar 7-day average) have experienced before it, the data shows Italy is starting to see cases rise. 0.29%, or about 30 times less than that of Italy. We will need as many intensive care beds as possible. London realistically has a lot more than 8.6m people, and there are definitely bigger urban areas in Europe than Berlin, with a measly 3.6m. The unabashedly young and the heedless among the hipoisie have been staging ad-hoc "Corona parties." (Updated: 3/22, 10:45 a.m. Central European Time). pandemic. In Italy too, Health Minister Roberto Speranza announced Monday that he had signed an order forcing anyone returning from Paris or any other part of France where there is "significant circulation" of the virus to be tested. Why would everyone be so obsessed with a city of just 2.2m people? Italians. What is the hink-pink for blue green moray? Global Business and Financial News, Stock Quotes, and Market Data and Analysis. This can be understood historically, under the rubric that Berlin—as a known party town and for the last decade as the global capital of techno — has a devil-may-care attitude toward danger and a long-time flirtation with the Dark Side since the 1920s. Two government ministers went into quarantine Wednesday having been in close contact with people who tested positive for the virus. The material on this site can not be reproduced, distributed, transmitted, cached or otherwise used, except with prior written permission of Multiply. This is a comparison between U.S. states and sovereign states' Nominal Gross Domestic Product based on International Monetary Fund and Bureau of Economic Analysis data. Novavax to start phase 3 Covid vaccine trial in the U.K. one of the regions where Italy's outbreak emerged, France (which has reported more than 10,000 new daily cases several times since Saturday, Spain (which has a similar 7-day average) have experienced. © 2020 CNBC LLC. We were pamphleteers in the 18th-century sense, with approximately the same tech, but at a military school—M.A.S.H, basically, minus the operating rooms and the grownups. But for now: Germany remains on a steep ascending curve. Data is a real-time snapshot *Data is delayed at least 15 minutes. But looking at the most recent data, it appears Italy and Germany won't be able to avoid a second wave of the pandemic after all. For example Germany is a great power, while Estonia is a small power. (Photo by John MACDOUGALL / AFP) (Photo by JOHN MACDOUGALL/AFP via Getty Images), complies with the ordinance mandating all restaurants must close daily by 6pm. It's a big if. "We are at the beginning of an epidemic," he said Friday morning in Berlin. Is Germany bigger than Italy? In addition to starting out with an initially-young or youngish patient population, Germany's microscopically small mortality rate is also a result of factors on the ground: Enough respirators and intensive care beds for the moment, a ready stockpile of personal protective supplies for health care professionals, and a modicum of success at insulating its older and more vulnerable population. Obviously, the native, elderly non-skiing demographic strata of Italy were exposed early and often, along with everybody else in the hot zones of the northern tier of that country. We will need a steady number of days to posit this, but if the Germans can keep that trend going with social distancing and other measures, they will have succeeded at flattening the curve of their infection rate. View of the Brandenburg Gate in Berlin on March 20, 2020, amid the new coronavirus COVID-19 ... [+] pandemic. If you are 13 years old when were you born? (Photo by Sean Gallup/Getty Images), This iteration of Germany's spike may turn out to be just the run-up to the flattening of the curve that Chancellor Merkel was touting in her March 12 press conference—in other words, the gamble is that, although the curve hasn't flattened yet, it may, if the measures being put in place to control it are heeded, and if they work. "We are all in a crisis, the size of which I never imagined. Looking at the most recent data, however, it appears Italy and Germany won't be able to avoid a second wave of the pandemic after all. Nonetheless, as Italy's neighbors France (which has reported more than 10,000 new daily cases several times since Saturday) and Spain (which has a … Channel your inner-geographer and see how big Texas is. The counts are friable—in Iran, for instance, where the reporting tends to lag for obvious political and societal reasons. The Hall Empties: Berlin's city parliament plenary hall is shuttered on March 19 because a VIP ... [+] guest, Israeli Ambassador to Germany Jeremy Issacharow, who recently attended an event at the parliament tested postitive for SARS-CoV-2. The RKI stats will "catch up" to Johns Hopkins and receive those stats on March 23. The most enviable German Covid-19 mortality rate stands at 0.29%, or about 30 times less than that of Italy. No offense to the (Updated: 3/22, 10:45 a.m. Central European Time). (Photo by John MACDOUGALL / AFP) (Photo by JOHN MACDOUGALL/AFP via Getty Images), In the last ten days, Germany has leapt several places ahead on the list of countries whose infection rates from SARS-CoV-2 are undergoing a dramatic spike, bringing it to sixth in numbers of officially reported cases, behind China, Italy, Iran, Spain and Korea. Italy is a republic with more than 60 million people. But the spike in Germany mirrors what the government actually knows, and is now, at 18,610 known cases as of this morning, according to the German state's official heath reporting organization, the Robert Koch Institute (RKI). In a report released in September 2016 by Eurostat that compared ages of residents across Europe, Italy was declared as having the highest share of people over 80 years old at 6.5%, with Greece close behind with 6.3%. Johns Hopkins University reports 84 deaths by March 22 in Germany, but the difference in the statistics is due to the lag time in RKI receiving mortality data from local health authorities, a lag from which the Johns Hopkins reporting does not suffer. Rome, Verona, Venice, Pasta, The weather, the scenery, Romeo and Juliet. There is one major difference between Germany's Covid-19 demographic and that of the pan-European hot zone of Italy. What is the rising action of faith love and dr lazaro? Cities Munich and Hamburg are particular hotspots for the virus currently. Rise in migrant babies means UK will have a bigger population than Germany by 2060 ... Britain's birthrate is much higher than many European countries, such as Germany, Italy and Spain. All Rights Reserved, This is a BETA experience. Germany has leapt up the ladder in SARS-CoV-2 infections, with 18,610 as of March 22. His expectation is that the infection rate will spike, as will the mortality rate, before Germany is able to flatten it. In short, the German reporting, though accurate, is for bureaucratic reasons 24 hours behind. The speed of the curve's flattening depends on the effectiveness of Germany's social distancing measures, which are, as of yesterday, comparatively light, and on the response of its health-care infrastructure. Ano ang mga kasabihan sa sa aking kababata? The first is that the onslaught of Covid-19 arrived in the teeth of Europe's ski season, so that many Germans who initially contracted the virus did so in Italy, which is why—for the moment—70% of all reported cases in Germany remain among the young, or more broadly, among the not-elderly, between the ages of 20 and 50. Although the cases of infection are now spread throughout the country, the numbers from RKI still show a decided daisy-chain of three hotpoints, the very same hotpoints of ten days ago, namely, Baden Württemberg, North Rhineland-Westfalia, and Bavaria, which together account for 11,002, or 59%, of Germany's 18,610 cases. Copy code below and paste it into your website. An increase in the number of tests being carried out could account for the rise, with ANSA news agency citing the health ministry as stating that 103,696 swab tests were taken Wednesday, around 16,000 more than Tuesday and the highest number in Italy in a single day since the start of the pandemic.